日本：感染者【 2,081名 】
日本：死亡者【 60名 】
全世界：感染者【 928,730名 】
全世界：死亡者【 46,112名 】
中国、イタリア、スペイン、アメリカが爆発的な広がりをみせているCOVID-2019。日本は少ない感染者数を記録してきたが、数字は伸びてきた。4月2日の日本の感染者数は2081名。これは3月13日時点でのアメリカの数字とほぼ同じだ。その19日後にアメリカでは約100倍の213,372名まで増えた。私は東京に住んでる日本人だが、アメリカのNY州知事の政策を支持する。国境とか関係ない。
COVID-2019感染症対策を考えてみる
（１）自分がすでに感染してると考えて行動をとること
感染した人たちは誰も自分が感染すると思ってなかっただろう。このウイルスはとても感染力が強く、誰も免疫を持ってないため世界中に広まるだろう。ゆえにすでに自分が感染してると思って行動することが大切だと思う。感染してるならば学校も、仕事も行かないだろう。日本は今日も満員の電車で会社に通ってる人が沢山いる。学校を再開させようというエリアがある。ウイルスは0歳児でも感染が確認された。性別や年齢を問わず感染する。すでに感染してる患者が学校に通わせてもらったり、電車で仕事に行くだろうか。行かないだろう。その国の政府がどう言おうと行動を制限するべきだ。学校や仕事は後でリスタートすればいい。必要最小限の食糧を買い、それ以外は家に籠ることが最善策だ。
（２）医療系の方々
感染者の治療をしてる医者の方々は、感染リスクを知って従事して対応してる。優先順位的に救わなければいけないのは医者だ。人数を集め、休憩を取れるシフトを組むこと。
NYでは初めての感染者がでた5日後に緊急事態宣言発動。マスクや消毒液の便乗値上げを通報できるようにホットラインを用意。この時のNY市の感染者数は76人。その1週間後には街を封鎖し、臨時の病院を建てまくる。とても速い対応だと思うが、ウイルスの方が数倍速いペースで広まり、収まる気配がなかった。イタリアでもそうだが、この時点で病院のシステムが崩壊。患者の数が病院の受け入れるキャパを圧倒的に上回って、治療する医者も、道具、ベッドの数も足りなくなる状態が起きてる。NYでは、最初の感染者が確認されてから約20日間で、医療システムが壊れた。足りないものは医者、ベッド、酸素吸入器、マスクやゴーグル、手袋、消毒用アルコール。治療しても、それ以上の数の患者が次から次に運び込まれる状態になる。医療システムが壊れると、どうなるか。見回る医者が足りず、ベッドや道具、機械も足りず、その場で続々と患者が死んでいくことになる。医療現場だけではなく、様々な場所でも感染者かどうかもわからないまま、死んでいく人も急増するだろう。私の住んでる国、日本でもこのまま通勤や通学をしてる人たちが止まらなかえれば同じことになるだろう。東京のどこの病院も医療崩壊し、医者も機械も足りず、人が次々と死んでいくことになる。NY州をサンプルに考えて計算するとゴールデンウィーク前に、東京で感染者が5万人を超える。死者も相当な数になるだろう。それをなるべく遅らせる方法は、どこにも行かず家にいることだ。
（３）いつ終わるのか
終わらない。ワクチンができればいいが、現在の技術で1年以上かかると言われてる。臨床試験を重ねた完全な治療方法が見つかるまでこのウイルスと共に生きることになるだろう。それこそが世界中の知力、技術を上げて取り組むべき事業で、最優先に取り組まなければ全人類にこの病気は感染すると思う。あと1年はスーパーヒーローは現れない。私たちにできることは対処方法が解明するまで、おとなしく外出を控えること。感染の広がるスピードを抑え、医療現場にかかるストレスやプレッシャーを和らげることができる。
（４）感染から回復した人たち
感染から回復した人たちは、自身の経験をアウトプットすればいいと思う。まだ知らない人たちに感染した時の病状を生の声で伝えるのは大切なことだ。ここまで増えたのならば私は感染し復活しましたと言ってもヘイトが起こることはないだろう、それよりも正確な情報が必要だ。煽りではなく、周りを思いやる共有が大切だ。
こんな機会は滅多にないので、家にこもって自分にできることを少しづつ積み上げていこうと思う。
＊english
Source: WHO: Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation reports, government press releases, Johns Hopkins University: New coronavirus disease spread map, April 2, 2020
Japan: Number of infected persons 【 2,081 】
Japan: Deaths 【 60 】
Worldwide: infected people【 928,730 】
Worldwide: Deaths【 46,112 】
COVID-2019 has exploded in China, Italy, Spain, and the U.S. While Japan has recorded a low number of infections, the numbers have grown: on April 2, 2081 people were infected in Japan. This is about the same as the U.S. numbers as of March 13. 19 days later, the number in the U.S. had increased nearly 100-fold to 213,372. I'm a Japanese living in Tokyo and I support the policies of the US Governor of New York. It doesn't matter what the border is.
Thinking about COVID-2019 infectious disease control
(1) Think that you are already infected and take action.
None of the people who were infected would have thought they would be infected. This virus is so infectious that no one is immune to it and it will spread all over the world. Therefore, I think it is important to think that you are already infected and act on it. If you're infected, you won't go to school, you won't go to work. In Japan, there are still many people going to work on a packed train today. There is an area that wants to reopen the school. The virus was also confirmed in 0-year-old children. It can be transmitted regardless of gender or age. Would an already infected patient be forced to go to school or take the train to work? He won't go. We should limit our actions no matter what the government of that country says or does. School and work can be restarted later. It's best to buy the minimum amount of food you need and stay at home the rest of the time.
(2) People in the medical field
The doctors who are treating the infected are aware of the risk of infection and are engaged and responsive. It's the doctor who has to be saved, priority-wise. Assemble a number of people and work shifts where you can take breaks.
A state of emergency is declared five days after the first case of infection in New York. A hotline is available to report price hikes for masks and disinfectants. The total number of infected people in New York City at that time was 76. A week later, the city is cordoned off and a makeshift hospital is built. I think it was a very fast response, but the virus was spreading several times faster and showed no signs of subsiding. As is the case in Italy, the hospital system collapsed at this point. In New York, the health care system broke down in about 20 days after the first cases were confirmed, with the number of patients overwhelmingly outstripping the hospital's capacity to handle them and not enough doctors, equipment or beds. What's missing is a doctor, a bed, an oxygen inhaler, a mask or goggles, gloves, and rubbing alcohol. Even with treatment, it's a condition where more and more patients are brought in one after the other. What happens when the health care system breaks down? There were not enough doctors to look around, not enough beds, tools and machines, and one patient after another would die on the spot. The number of people dying not only in the medical field, but also in various other places without knowing whether they are infected or not, will skyrocket. In my country, Japan, the same thing will happen if people who commute to work or school don't stop. Every hospital in Tokyo would collapse, there would be insufficient doctors and machines, and people would die one after the other. The death toll would be substantial. The way to delay it as much as possible is to stay home and not go anywhere.
(3) When will it end?
It never ends. It would be nice if we could get a vaccine, but they say it would take a year or more with current technology. They will live with this virus until a complete cure is found, which has been through clinical trials. This is a project that should be undertaken by raising the knowledge and technology of the world, and I believe that this disease will spread to all mankind if it is not given the highest priority. There won't be a superhero for another year. All we can do is sit back and refrain from going out until we figure out how to deal with it. It can reduce the speed at which the infection spreads and relieve the stress and pressure on the medical field.
(4) People who have recovered from the infection.
I think people who are recovering from infection should output their own experiences. It's important to tell people who don't yet know the disease in a live voice when it's infected. If it's gone up to this point, I'm infected and resurrected, it's not going to cause any hate, it needs more accurate information than that. It's important to share with consideration for those around you, not instigation.
It's not often that I get a chance like this, so I'm going to stay at home and try to build up what I can.
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